Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Fullerton Titans | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.7% | 13.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 79.4% | 20.6% | -7.4 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 71.5% | 28.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.5% | 13.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.4% | 13.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -4 (97-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Fullerton Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Allman * | 43 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 30 | 40 | - |
| Khalil Ahmad * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Jackson Rowe * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 37 | - |
| Jamal Smith * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Arkim Robertson * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Austen Awosika | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 19 | - |
| Davon Clare | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Dominik Heinzl | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Fields * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 29 | - |
| Victor Joseph * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 33 | 36 | - |
| Hank Hollingsworth * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - |
| Luke Meikle * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Josh Martin * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Jakub Niziol | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 17 | - |
| Marcellus Garrick | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Mark Crowe | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Karlis Garoza | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Trevor John | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Aleks Abrams | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Iziah James | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter