Model Predictions
| Model | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 88.1% | 11.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.1% | 19.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 86.2% | 13.8% | -10.1 | ✗ (11.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.6% | 8.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.6% | 8.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +1 (80-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Heidegger * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Leland King * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 27 | - |
| Marcus Jackson * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Jalen Canty * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 21 | 37 | - |
| Christian Terrell | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Ami Lakoju | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Maxwell Kupchak | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brandon Davis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Fields * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 33 | - |
| Victor Joseph * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 26 | - |
| Luke Meikle * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Hank Hollingsworth * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| G. Vincent * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Josh Martin * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Marcellus Garrick | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Karlis Garoza | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Trevor John | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Jakub Niziol | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mark Crowe | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter