Model Predictions
| Model | UNC Asheville Bulldogs | Radford Highlanders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Radford Highlanders +20 (90-70). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UNC Asheville Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Vannatta * | 37 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 13 | -0.9 |
| Ahmad Thomas * | 36 | 7-14 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 9 | +3.2 |
| MaCio Teague * | 36 | 4-14 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | - |
| Jonathan Baehre * | 20 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 3 | -4.7 |
| Raekwon Miller * | 20 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +3.1 |
| Drew Rackley | 24 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 6-7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | -0.7 |
| Alec Wnuk | 22 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | -0.4 |
| Jalen Seegars | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -3.9 |
| Donovan Gilmore | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Radford Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ed Polite Jr. * | 33 | 9-10 | 2-3 | 9-11 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 31 | +0.8 |
| Carlik Jones * | 32 | 8-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 17 | +1.3 |
| Donald Hicks * | 29 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | +1.7 |
| Randy Phillips * | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 11 | -2.5 |
| Christian Bradford * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Travis Fields Jr. | 21 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | +0.9 |
| Caleb Tanner | 14 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -4.4 |
| Devonnte Holland | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +3.9 |
| Leroy Butts IV | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -0.3 |
| Justin Cousin | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3.5 |
| Anias Saunders | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter