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Model Predictions

Model Presbyterian Blue Hose Liberty Flames Spread Result
Elo 8.5% 91.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 30.6% 69.4% - โœ“
Margin 20.9% 79.1% - โœ“
Pythagorean 20.4% 79.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 7.0% 93.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 6.9% 93.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 23.1% 76.9% - โœ“

Actual: Liberty Flames +12 (60-48). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Presbyterian Blue Hose

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Reggie Dillard 38 7-17 3-9 1-2 2 1 0 0 2 18 2 -4.2
JC Younger 34 0-5 0-5 0-0 5 4 1 0 1 0 4 +3.8
Romeo Crouch 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 0 3 +8.4
Davon Bell 26 1-8 1-2 0-0 4 4 0 0 0 3 3 -1.3
Francois Lewis 21 5-13 4-8 1-3 1 0 1 0 0 15 4 -4.8
Armel TeTe 20 3-5 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 3 6 5 -4.3
Ethan Kay 14 1-5 1-5 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 3 -1 -1.9
Ruben Arroyo 10 1-3 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 3 +3.6
Jaron Withers 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 +7.6

Liberty Flames

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lovell Cabbil Jr. 35 6-14 1-4 0-0 6 3 1 1 2 13 8 -3.0
Georgie Pacheco-Ortiz 34 6-10 2-3 0-0 5 4 0 0 0 14 13 +3.1
Ryan Kemrite 31 0-6 0-3 2-3 5 1 0 0 0 2 2 +4.6
Scottie James 27 4-8 0-1 0-0 12 0 0 2 2 8 12 +7.2
Caleb Homesley 25 4-6 1-3 3-4 6 1 0 2 0 12 15 +0.6
Isaiah Williams 17 2-3 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 1 1 5 7 -8.7
Elijah Cuffee 17 0-4 0-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -5 -11.3
Myo Baxter-Bell 12 2-6 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 0 1 6 1 -7.5
Keegan McDowell 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.1

* = starter