Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Kentucky Norse | Oakland Golden Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.4% | 20.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.8% | 20.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oakland Golden Grizzlies -4 (83-87). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Northern Kentucky Norse
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew McDonald * | 36 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 14 | +0.2 |
| Lavone Holland II * | 35 | 8-20 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 5 | +7.2 |
| Carson Williams * | 32 | 8-13 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 18 | -4.4 |
| Jordan Garnett * | 29 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | -1.2 |
| Jalen Tate * | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | +6.0 |
| Dantez Walton | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -2.3 |
| Mason Faulkner | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -5.4 |
| Jeff Garrett | 7 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | +1.8 |
| Tyler Sharpe | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +1.9 |
| Tre Cobbs | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2.9 |
Oakland Golden Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendrick Nunn * | 40 | 10-20 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 12 | +2.5 |
| Jalen Hayes * | 40 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 13 | +0.4 |
| Martez Walker * | 40 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 7-11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 12 | +1.6 |
| Isaiah Brock * | 24 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 11 | +0.4 |
| Nick Daniels * | 16 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | -0.2 |
| Brailen Neely | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | +7.8 |
| Chris Palombizio | 10 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | +2.9 |
| Julius Palmer | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1.9 |
| Stan Scott | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -6.0 |
* = starter