Model Predictions
| Model | Green Bay Phoenix | Youngstown State Penguins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.7% | 18.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.6% | 18.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Youngstown State Penguins +11 (85-74). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Green Bay Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sandy Cohen III * | 38 | 11-19 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 27 | 11 | -10.2 |
| Khalil Small * | 36 | 8-14 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | -17.9 |
| David Jesperson * | 24 | 2-8 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -16.8 |
| Kameron Hankerson * | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | -0.1 |
| PJ Pipes * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -8.8 |
| Sukhjot Bains | 22 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | -1.5 |
| Manny Patterson | 18 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 12 | +0.1 |
| TJ Parham | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.4 |
| Trevian Bell | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.2 |
| Hunter Crist | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.1 |
| Will Chevalier | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
Youngstown State Penguins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braun Hartfield * | 36 | 9-22 | 0-9 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 4 | +0.0 |
| Cameron Morse * | 33 | 7-15 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 12 | +8.4 |
| Garrett Covington * | 30 | 6-12 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 14 | +7.8 |
| Naz Bohannon * | 29 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | +8.8 |
| Devin Haygood * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +14.5 |
| Tyree Robinson | 23 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 16 | -1.0 |
| Jeremiah Ferguson | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.2 |
| Jaylen Benton | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +2.0 |
| Michael Akuchie | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -4.2 |
* = starter