๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2018-01-07

Model Predictions

Model Northern Kentucky Norse Detroit Mercy Titans Spread Result
Elo 86.4% 13.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 84.2% 15.8% - โœ“
Margin 93.3% 6.7% -14.5 โœ“ (12.5 off)
Pythagorean 78.3% 21.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 93.9% 6.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 94.0% 6.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 78.2% 21.8% - โœ“

Actual: Detroit Mercy Titans -2 (54-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Kentucky Norse

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Drew McDonald * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 2 1 1 2 16 27 -
LaVone Holland * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 0 9 17 -
Jordan Garnett * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 3 1 0 2 4 14 -
Carson Williams * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 12 17 -
Jalen Tate * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 3 3 0 4 10 -
Tyler Sharpe 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 2 5 6 -
Mason Faulkner 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 -
Dantez Walton 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
Jeff Garrett 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 2 1 4 10 -

Detroit Mercy Titans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Corey Allen * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 13 3 1 0 4 10 23 -
Jermaine Jackson * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 4 10 10 -
Jaleel Hogan * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 3 0 2 3 10 20 -
Cole Long * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 2 1 5 11 -
Josh McFolley 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 6 7 -
Tariiq Jones 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 1 4 -
Gerald Blackshear 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 -
DeShawndre Black 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 4 -

* = starter