Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Kentucky Norse | Detroit Mercy Titans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.8% | 18.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.6% | 21.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 83.2% | 16.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 83.2% | 16.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 97.4% | 2.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 97.5% | 2.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 82.1% | 17.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Mercy Titans -2 (54-56). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Northern Kentucky Norse
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew McDonald * | 37 | 5-17 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 10 | -8.1 |
| Lavone Holland II * | 34 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | -8.1 |
| Jordan Garnett * | 28 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -2.0 |
| Carson Williams * | 25 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | +3.4 |
| Jalen Tate * | 25 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -2.6 |
| Tyler Sharpe | 15 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | +2.2 |
| Mason Faulkner | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -5.3 |
| Jeff Garrett | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -7.3 |
| Dantez Walton | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -4.3 |
Detroit Mercy Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Allen * | 40 | 5-20 | 0-8 | 0-0 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 3 | +5.4 |
| Jermaine Jackson Jr. * | 37 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Jaleel Hogan * | 34 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | +8.9 |
| Roschon Prince * | 25 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 15 | +5.0 |
| Cole Long * | 20 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | +8.0 |
| Josh McFolley | 20 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 6-6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +4.3 |
| Tariiq Jones | 13 | 0-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | -6.1 |
| Gerald Blackshear Jr. | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1.0 |
| DeShawndre Black | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +5.8 |
* = starter