Model Predictions
| Model | Navy Midshipmen | Colgate Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colgate Raiders +8 (70-62). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Navy Midshipmen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Anderson * | 33 | 9-19 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 11 | +0.7 |
| Hasan Abdullah * | 32 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | +6.4 |
| Bryce Dulin * | 32 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -5 | -2.0 |
| Evan Wieck * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -10.9 |
| Tom Lacey * | 24 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | +4.9 |
| George Kiernan | 27 | 5-14 | 4-11 | 3-3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 14 | +5.7 |
| Cam Davis | 22 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -13.7 |
| Tyler Riemersma | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -7.8 |
| Ryan Pearson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | -1.5 |
| Mo Lewis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
Colgate Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean O'Brien * | 37 | 4-9 | 4-7 | 6-6 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 18 | +8.1 |
| Will Rayman * | 33 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 21 | +15.3 |
| Jordan Swopshire * | 29 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -4 | -3.4 |
| Dana Batt * | 19 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | +4.4 |
| Francisco Amiel * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -8.4 |
| Malcolm Regisford | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | -2.3 |
| Jack Ferguson | 16 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +6.7 |
| Jordan Burns | 16 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | -0.2 |
| David Maynard | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +5.8 |
| Jordan Robertson | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -8.9 |
| Sam Lindgren | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.7 |
* = starter