Model Predictions
| Model | Lafayette Leopards | Colgate Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.8% | 85.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Colgate Raiders -3 (68-71). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Lafayette Leopards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Stafford * | 27 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | +7.9 |
| Matt Klinewski * | 26 | 9-14 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 17 | +11.1 |
| Paulius Zalys * | 25 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | +10.5 |
| Alex Petrie * | 23 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | +12.5 |
| Kyle Stout * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -17.5 |
| Justin Jaworski | 33 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | +20.9 |
| E.J. Stephens | 23 | 5-8 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | +6.1 |
| Lukas Jarrett | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | +2.3 |
| Myles Cherry | 14 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | +1.1 |
Colgate Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean O'Brien * | 33 | 6-14 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | -4.5 |
| Jordan Swopshire * | 30 | 6-11 | 3-4 | 6-7 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 18 | -7.9 |
| Will Rayman * | 28 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 3 | -8.1 |
| Dana Batt * | 27 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | -8.0 |
| Jordan Burns * | 26 | 3-13 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -2 | -8.6 |
| Jack Ferguson | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -0.8 |
| Francisco Amiel | 16 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -9.9 |
| Malcolm Regisford | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -4.3 |
| Jordan Robertson | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -6.1 |
* = starter