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2018-02-12

Model Predictions

Model Colgate Raiders Bucknell Bison Spread Result
Elo 16.1% 83.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 23.4% 76.6% - โœ“
Margin 10.0% 90.0% +12.1 โœ“ (11.1 off)
Pythagorean 38.1% 61.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 10.7% 89.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 10.6% 89.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 25.6% 74.4% - โœ“

Actual: Bucknell Bison +1 (65-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colgate Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sean O'Brien * 36 2-4 0-1 3-4 3 7 2 0 0 7 15 -
Will Rayman * 33 3-6 3-5 1-1 11 1 3 0 3 10 16 -
Jordan Swopshire * 30 3-11 1-5 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 7 -1 -
Jordan Burns * 29 3-11 1-4 2-2 3 2 1 0 3 9 1 -
Dana Batt * 23 4-5 0-0 2-2 7 1 0 3 1 10 15 -
Jordan Robertson 20 4-10 1-2 2-3 2 1 1 1 3 11 3 -
Sam Lindgren 14 3-4 0-0 1-1 2 1 1 0 1 7 6 -
Francisco Amiel 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jack Ferguson 3 0-1 0-1 3-3 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

Bucknell Bison

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach Thomas * 35 6-16 0-6 6-8 5 3 0 0 2 18 8 -
Stephen Brown * 33 4-6 3-4 0-0 4 5 1 0 2 11 13 -
Kimbal MacKenzie * 31 4-8 2-6 1-1 2 1 0 0 1 11 5 -
Nana Foulland * 31 4-9 0-0 6-9 10 0 1 2 3 14 15 -
Avi Toomer * 18 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 -
Bruce Moore 24 1-3 0-2 4-5 4 1 2 1 1 6 10 -
Jimmy Sotos 14 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
Nate Sestina 11 1-5 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 2 -1 -
Nate Jones 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter