Model Predictions
| Model | Bucknell Bison | Lafayette Leopards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.0% | 13.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 85.6% | 14.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 75.0% | 25.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.6% | 5.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.6% | 5.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.9% | 31.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Lafayette Leopards -5 (75-80). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Bucknell Bison
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Thomas * | 41 | 8-21 | 2-5 | 7-10 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 18 | +2.4 |
| Nana Foulland * | 40 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 26 | +1.8 |
| Bruce Moore * | 38 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -6.1 |
| Stephen Brown * | 35 | 7-18 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 9 | +8.6 |
| Jimmy Sotos * | 34 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | -6.1 |
| Ben Robertson | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -4.9 |
| Nate Jones | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -11.1 |
| Nathan Sestina | 7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -8.9 |
| John Meeks | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -5.1 |
| Matt O'Reilly | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.5 |
Lafayette Leopards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Petrie * | 33 | 9-21 | 4-9 | 4-7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 9 | +10.8 |
| Matt Klinewski * | 27 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 6 | +4.8 |
| Kyle Stout * | 25 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -2.3 |
| Paulius Zalys * | 22 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 10 | +5.9 |
| Eric Stafford * | 20 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -7.0 |
| Justin Jaworski | 31 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +13.6 |
| E.J. Stephens | 24 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -4 | +3.2 |
| Myles Cherry | 22 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 17 | +2.1 |
| Lukas Jarrett | 12 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -11.5 |
| Dylan Hastings | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +7.7 |
* = starter