Model Predictions
| Model | Bucknell Bison | Army Black Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.1% | 22.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Army Black Knights -17 (66-83). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Bucknell Bison
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nana Foulland * | 34 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Bruce Moore * | 34 | 4-7 | 4-7 | 5-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Zach Thomas * | 26 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Stephen Brown * | 24 | 8-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Jimmy Sotos * | 24 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Ben Robertson | 15 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| John Meeks | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Nate Jones | 10 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Matt O'Reilly | 10 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Paul Newman | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Kimbal Mackenzie | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Army Black Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy Funk * | 30 | 8-13 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Jordan Fox * | 27 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Matt Wilson * | 25 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Jacob Kessler * | 18 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Luke Morrison * | 14 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Alex King | 27 | 3-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Tucker Blackwell | 23 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Lonnie Grayson | 14 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Babacar Thiombane | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| John Emezie | 7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| John Miller | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter