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2018-02-21

Model Predictions

Model American University Eagles Holy Cross Crusaders Spread Result
Elo 14.9% 85.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 24.4% 75.6% - โœ“
Margin 20.8% 79.2% +7.4 โœ“ (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 34.6% 65.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 27.7% 72.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 27.5% 72.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 34.1% 65.9% - โœ“

Actual: Holy Cross Crusaders +6 (70-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

American University Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sa'eed Nelson * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 8 4 0 4 11 20 -
Laurynas Motuzis * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 21 19 -
Sam Iorio * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 2 1 0 9 20 -
Marvin Bragg * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 5 8 -
Jesse Little * 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
Stacy Beckton 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 2 2 7 16 -
Cheikh Diallo 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 11 13 -

Holy Cross Crusaders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jacob Grandison * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 3 3 0 4 16 25 -
Caleb Green * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 8 10 -
Pat Benzan * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 5 10 -
Austin Butler * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 0 1 0 1 14 24 -
Jehyve Floyd * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 4 0 4 4 14 24 -
Matt Zignorski 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 4 -
Connor Niego 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 6 8 -
Matt Faw 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 5 6 -

* = starter