Model Predictions
| Model | American University Eagles | Colgate Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.4% | 91.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.0% | 86.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.8% | 90.2% | +12.2 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.4% | 91.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colgate Raiders +14 (83-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Iorio * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 27 | - |
| Laurynas Motuzis * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 23 | - |
| Sa'eed Nelson * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 24 | 28 | - |
| Marvin Bragg * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Cheikh Diallo * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Stacy Beckton | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Jesse Little | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Matt Cimino | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Colgate Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rayman * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 35 | - |
| Jordan Burns * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 33 | - |
| Sean O'Brien * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Dana Batt * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Jordan Swopshire * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Francisco Amiel | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Jordan Robertson | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Malcolm Regisford | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
* = starter