Model Predictions
| Model | Army Black Knights | American University Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 80.7% | 19.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.1% | 6.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.4% | 6.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: American University Eagles -4 (54-58). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Army Black Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy Funk * | 32 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 4 | +11.1 |
| Jordan Fox * | 28 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | +4.8 |
| Matt Wilson * | 25 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | +3.0 |
| Luke Morrison * | 18 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +0.3 |
| Jacob Kessler * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | -4.0 |
| Alex King | 23 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +7.1 |
| Tucker Blackwell | 19 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | +2.2 |
| Babacar Thiombane | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | +6.1 |
| John Emezie | 14 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | +8.1 |
| Lonnie Grayson | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +2.3 |
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sa'eed Nelson * | 38 | 7-16 | 0-2 | 1-5 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 9 | -6.6 |
| Sam Iorio * | 36 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 12 | -8.3 |
| Drew LaMont * | 31 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | -16.5 |
| Larry Motuzis * | 31 | 5-13 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 2 | -1.9 |
| Cheikh Diallo * | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -2.2 |
| James Washington | 25 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -13.5 |
| Marvin Bragg | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | +3.9 |
| Stacy Beckton Jr. | 11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | -7.0 |
| Jesse Little | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +4.2 |
* = starter