Model Predictions
| Model | American University Eagles | Navy Midshipmen | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Navy Midshipmen +6 (70-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Iorio * | 40 | 6-13 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Larry Motuzis * | 38 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Sa'eed Nelson * | 37 | 7-17 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Drew LaMont * | 31 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Cheikh Diallo * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Marvin Bragg | 24 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Stacy Beckton Jr. | 13 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Nick Macarchuk | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| James Washington | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Matt Cimino | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Navy Midshipmen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Dulin * | 38 | 7-10 | 7-8 | 2-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 20 | - |
| Tom Lacey * | 29 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Hasan Abdullah * | 28 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Shawn Anderson * | 28 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Evan Wieck * | 25 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| George Kiernan | 26 | 2-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Cam Davis | 15 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Ryan Pearson | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter