Model Predictions
| Model | Colgate Raiders | American University Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.0% | 24.0% | -6.3 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.5% | 14.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.6% | 14.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: American University Eagles -9 (63-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colgate Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean O'Brien * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 23 | - |
| Jordan Swopshire * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 24 | - |
| Will Rayman * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Jordan Burns * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Dana Batt * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Francisco Amiel | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Malcolm Regisford | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jordan Robertson | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Jack Ferguson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sa'eed Nelson * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 27 | - |
| Sam Iorio * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 26 | - |
| Laurynas Motuzis * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Cheikh Diallo * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Drew LaMont * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Marvin Bragg | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Stacy Beckton | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Nick Macarchuk | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| James Washington | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter