Model Predictions
| Model | Jacksonville Dolphins | North Florida Ospreys | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Florida Ospreys -4 (86-90). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Jacksonville Dolphins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Harris * | 36 | 7-14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 13 | +15.1 |
| JD Notae * | 34 | 11-17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 10 | +4.9 |
| Jace Hogan * | 33 | 9-20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 8 | +1.4 |
| Antwon Clayton * | 31 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17 | +12.7 |
| Jalyn Hinton * | 28 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 14 | +16.0 |
| Cody Helgeland | 22 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -2.7 |
| Tanner Rubio | 14 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | -12.4 |
| Damien Sears | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.0 |
| Corey Romich | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
North Florida Ospreys
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivan Gandia-Rosa * | 34 | 5-17 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 0 | -12.8 |
| J.T. Escobar * | 29 | 7-11 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 11 | -23.6 |
| Garrett Sams * | 24 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -5 | -8.3 |
| Noah Horchler * | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 13 | -7.6 |
| Wajid Aminu * | 13 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9 | +7.4 |
| Osborn Blount | 33 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | -13.2 |
| Trip Day | 24 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 16 | -2.3 |
| Ryan Burkhardt | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | +6.3 |
| Emmanuel Lambright | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -4.4 |
* = starter