Model Predictions
| Model | Stetson Hatters | Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.4% | 91.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida Gulf Coast Eagles +38 (90-52). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Stetson Hatters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divine Myles * | 35 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 13 | -18.0 |
| B.J. Glasford * | 23 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -1 | -20.4 |
| Luke Doyle * | 22 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | -13.8 |
| Angel Rivera * | 18 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -29.1 |
| Larry Dennis * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | -7.9 |
| Christiaan Jones | 19 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -6.8 |
| Kenny Aninye | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -15.6 |
| Leo Goodman | 14 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | -18.8 |
| Keith Matthews | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -5.9 |
| Adam Webb | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.2 |
| Raine McKeython | 3 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -0.5 |
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Johnson * | 27 | 7-11 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 14 | +32.0 |
| Dinero Mercurius * | 23 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | +13.5 |
| Christian Terrell * | 21 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | +4.4 |
| Ricky Doyle * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | +6.6 |
| Christian Carlyle | 22 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | +9.4 |
| Brian Thomas | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | +9.1 |
| RaySean Scott Jr. | 13 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | +24.4 |
| Brady Ernst | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -2.7 |
| Ryan McAdoo | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.1 |
| Dolan Mahoney | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.2 |
| Joshua Ko | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | +0.2 |
* = starter