Model Predictions
| Model | Utah State Aggies | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels -7 (78-85). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Merrill * | 39 | 8-15 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 18 | +15.2 |
| Koby McEwen * | 34 | 6-16 | 1-7 | 8-8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 6 | +8.6 |
| Dwayne Brown Jr. * | 31 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 15 | +14.8 |
| Diogo Brito * | 28 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +14.3 |
| Quinn Taylor * | 28 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | +3.4 |
| Daron Henson | 20 | 4-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | +1.2 |
| DeAngelo Isby | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | -1.0 |
| Abel Porter | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -8.3 |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Johnson * | 38 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 16 | +6.6 |
| Shakur Juiston * | 31 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | -6.6 |
| Brandon McCoy * | 31 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 20 | -16.7 |
| Jovan Mooring * | 30 | 2-13 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | -4.8 |
| Kris Clyburn * | 27 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | -16.5 |
| Amauri Hardy | 22 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | +1.4 |
| C. Diong | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3.9 |
| Tervell Beck | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1.3 |
| Anthony Smith | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter