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2018-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Utah State Aggies San José State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 85.7% 14.3% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 80.9% 19.1% - ✗
Margin 81.2% 18.8% -8.0 ✗ (10.0 off)
Pythagorean 76.0% 24.0% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 87.8% 12.2% - ✗
Log Adjusted 87.9% 12.1% - ✗
Points Off/Def 66.7% 33.3% - ✗

Actual: San José State Spartans +2 (64-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah State Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sam Merrill * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 26 32 -
Quinn Taylor * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 4 1 3 1 4 18 -
Julion Pearre * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 8 9 -
Dwayne Brown * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 2 8 -
Diogo Brito 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 0 1 4 11 -
Daron Henson 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 11 14 -
Alexis Dargenton 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 0 0 3 -

San José State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ryan Welage * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 0 16 23 -
Jaycee Hillsman * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 2 3 19 26 -
Keith Fisher * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 1 1 1 8 19 -
Oumar Barry * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 1 1 9 17 -
Jalen James * 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 3 2 -
Isaiah Nichols 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 0 0 3 12 -
Ashtin Chastain 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 4 -
Noah Baumann 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 2 1 -

* = starter