Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.0% | 82.0% | +8.4 | ✓ (29.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +38 (94-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jovan Mooring * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 22 | - |
| Jordan Johnson * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Brandon McCoy * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 18 | - |
| Tervell Beck * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Amauri Hardy | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Kris Clyburn | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| C. Diong | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - |
| Jay Green | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Cheickna Dembele | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Pope * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 31 | - |
| J. McDaniels * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 34 | - |
| M. Mitchell * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 24 | - |
| T. Kell * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - |
| D. Watson * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. Hemsley | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| M. Montana | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 23 | - |
| J. Schakel | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| N. Narain | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| K. Rooks | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter