Model Predictions
| Model | San José State Spartans | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.0% | 98.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.7% | 94.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.4% | 98.6% | +23.4 | ✓ (12.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +36 (85-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San José State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Welage * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 18 | - |
| Keith Fisher * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 21 | - |
| Ashtin Chastain * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Noah Baumann * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Isaiah Nichols * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jaycee Hillsman | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Jalen James | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Oumar Barry | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Nai Carlisle | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Brandon Mitchell | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Caleb Simmons | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Kell * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 17 | - |
| M. Pope * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 23 | - |
| M. Mitchell * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 12 | - |
| D. Watson * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 23 | - |
| J. McDaniels * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 27 | - |
| J. Schakel | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| J. Hemsley | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| M. Montana | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 22 | - |
| K. Rooks | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| N. Narain | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Sohikish | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter