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2018-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Utah State Aggies New Mexico Lobos Spread Result
Elo 27.3% 72.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 38.7% 61.3% - โœ“
Margin 26.3% 73.7% +5.7 โœ“ (9.3 off)
Pythagorean 42.2% 57.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 31.3% 68.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 31.3% 68.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 37.7% 62.3% - โœ“

Actual: New Mexico Lobos +15 (78-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah State Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sam Merrill * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 6 33 30 -
Quinn Taylor * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 4 10 -
Diogo Brito * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 3 1 0 3 9 17 -
Dwayne Brown * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 3 0 4 -
Daron Henson 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
DeAngelo Isby 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 4 3 -
Alexis Dargenton 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 1 2 -
Abel Porter 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
Crew Ainge 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Julion Pearre 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

New Mexico Lobos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Mathis * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 0 0 25 32 -
Makuach Maluach * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 1 16 20 -
Vladimir Pinchuk * 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
Jachai Simmons * 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
Joe Furstinger 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 2 2 1 4 14 -
Sam Logwood 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 10 14 -
Dane Kuiper 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 7 11 -
Chris McNeal 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 2 0 1 10 15 -
T. Simons 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 5 0 0 0 2 8 -

* = starter