Model Predictions
| Model | Nevada Wolf Pack | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.8% | 73.2% | +5.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +5 (79-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Martin * | 39 | 6-12 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 10 | - |
| J. Caroline * | 39 | 11-16 | 3-3 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 22 | - |
| C. Martin * | 38 | 8-21 | 3-10 | 3-4 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 15 | - |
| K. Stephens * | 31 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| H. Cooke * | 28 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Hall | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| E. Foster | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Kell * | 34 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 21 | - |
| D. Watson * | 33 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| M. Pope * | 27 | 7-11 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| M. Mitchell * | 26 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| K. Rooks * | 18 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 15 | - |
| J. Hemsley | 23 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| J. McDaniels | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| J. Schakel | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Montana | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| N. Narain | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter