Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Nevada Wolf Pack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.0% | 71.0% | +4.9 | ✓ (20.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack +25 (83-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Watson * | 39 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| J. Hemsley * | 32 | 2-11 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| J. McDaniels * | 30 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| M. Pope * | 29 | 4-12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| M. Mitchell * | 27 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| M. Montana | 23 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| N. Narain | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Schakel | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Drew * | 40 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 11 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 23 | - |
| J. Caroline * | 37 | 8-14 | 0-3 | 10-11 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 23 | - |
| K. Stephens * | 35 | 7-14 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 10 | - |
| C. Martin * | 34 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| H. Cooke * | 22 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| C. Martin | 23 | 3-12 | 2-10 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| E. Foster | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Hall | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Tooley | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter