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2018-01-17

Model Predictions

Model Nevada Wolf Pack San José State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 97.4% 2.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 94.8% 5.2% - ✓
Margin 97.2% 2.8% -19.5 ✓ (2.5 off)
Pythagorean 83.1% 16.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 96.0% 4.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 96.1% 3.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 84.6% 15.4% - ✓

Actual: San José State Spartans -17 (54-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Nevada Wolf Pack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Drew * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 2 2 4 8 15 -
K. Stephens * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 2 3 3 19 26 -
C. Martin * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 1 2 2 24 32 -
J. Caroline * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 1 6 13 -
J. Hall * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 1 2 10 17 -
H. Cooke 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 3 8 -
E. Foster 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 1 5 -

San José State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ryan Welage * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 3 0 2 9 16 -
Jalen James * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 7 10 -
Noah Baumann * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 6 8 -
Keith Fisher * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 4 8 -
Ashtin Chastain * 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 0 2 -
Brandon Mitchell 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 3 18 23 -
Jaycee Hillsman 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 2 4 7 -
Oumar Barry 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 2 1 5 9 -
Nai Carlisle 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 3 -
Isaiah Nichols 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 1 2 -
Caleb Simmons 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter