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2018-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Fresno State Bulldogs UNLV Rebels Spread Result
Elo 52.1% 47.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 47.0% 53.0% - โœ—
Margin 42.4% 57.6% +1.7 โœ— (14.7 off)
Pythagorean 48.8% 51.2% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 54.9% 45.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 55.0% 45.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 46.0% 54.0% - โœ—

Actual: UNLV Rebels -13 (64-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Fresno State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ray Bowles * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 2 1 3 4 11 -
Deshon Taylor * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 3 0 0 22 31 -
Sam Bittner * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 6 10 -
Terrell Carter 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 2 6 -
Nate Grimes 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 3 7 -
Jahmel Taylor 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 3 -

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jovan Mooring * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 1 2 11 18 -
Jordan Johnson * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 5 3 0 4 13 17 -
Brandon McCoy * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 0 0 0 2 12 21 -
Tervell Beck * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 2 7 12 -
Amauri Hardy 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 2 0 7 14 -
Kris Clyburn 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 -
C. Diong 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 -
Cheickna Dembele 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 1 4 -
Jay Green 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter