Model Predictions
| Model | Fresno State Bulldogs | Nevada Wolf Pack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.0% | 86.0% | +11.6 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.1% | 83.9% | +9.1 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack +10 (102-92). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deshon Taylor * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 36 | - |
| Ray Bowles * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Terrell Carter II * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Sam Bittner | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Jahmel Taylor | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Nate Grimes | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Martin * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 35 | - |
| Jordan Caroline * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 21 | - |
| Kendall Stephens * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 21 | - |
| Josh Hall * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 28 | - |
| C. Martin * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 25 | - |
| Lindsey Drew | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 23 | - |
| Hallice Cooke | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter