Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | Fresno State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.0% | 95.0% | +19.8 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.3% | 98.7% | +23.6 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fresno State Bulldogs +26 (78-52). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martaveous McKnight * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Charles Jackson * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Cameron Posey * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Travon Harper * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Trent Steen * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Terrance Banyard | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Quamauri Hardy | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Joe'Randle Toliver | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Artavious McDyess | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Christian Robertson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Kennedy McKinney | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahmel Taylor * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 23 | - |
| Ray Bowles * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 21 | - |
| Sam Bittner * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 25 | - |
| Deshon Taylor * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Terrell Carter II | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 23 | - |
| Nate Grimes | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Lazaro Rojas | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Warren | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Gilles Dekoninck | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter