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2017-12-02

Model Predictions

Model Fresno State Bulldogs Long Beach State Beach Spread Result
Elo 73.3% 26.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 61.4% 38.6% - โœ“
Margin 80.3% 19.7% -7.7 โœ“ (28.3 off)
Pythagorean 65.7% 34.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 87.3% 12.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 87.5% 12.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 65.8% 34.2% - โœ“

Actual: Long Beach State Beach -36 (70-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Fresno State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Deshon Taylor * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 5 23 21 -
Ray Bowles * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 3 1 0 2 12 21 -
Sam Bittner * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 5 0 2 3 14 -
Terrell Carter 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 10 15 -
Jahmel Taylor 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 6 3 0 3 17 26 -
Johnny McWilliams 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 3 0 0 7 13 -
Lazaro Rojas 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
M. Warren 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Nate Grimes 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 7 -
Gilles Dekoninck 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Long Beach State Beach

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Booker * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 4 0 3 11 15 -
B. Alberts * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 2 2 4 -
M. Riggins * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 1 1 6 9 -
G. Levin * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 5 5 4 -
B. Ogalue * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 5 7 -
J. Griffin 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 1 11 12 -
E. Maxhuni 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 8 10 -
J. Roberts 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 2 5 -
K. Byers 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 5 8 -
T. Yussuf 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 13 14 -
J. Jackson 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
L. Williams 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 1 2 -
Q. Shropshire 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -

* = starter