Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 90.2% | 9.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.4% | 22.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 91.5% | 8.5% | -13.1 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.9% | 7.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.0% | 7.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 75.7% | 24.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams -9 (68-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Kell * | 33 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 4 | - |
| M. Pope * | 30 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 11 | - |
| J. McDaniels * | 29 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 20 | - |
| M. Mitchell * | 26 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| D. Watson * | 26 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 10 | - |
| J. Hemsley | 19 | 5-8 | 3-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| M. Montana | 16 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Schakel | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| K. Rooks | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Bonner * | 38 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| J.D. Paige * | 35 | 9-18 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 4 | - |
| Prentiss Nixon * | 32 | 4-17 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | -1 | - |
| Nico Carvacho * | 28 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 18 | - |
| Che Bob * | 23 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Deion James | 18 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Raquan Mitchell | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Lorenzo Jenkins | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Robbie Berwick | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter