Model Predictions
| Model | Nevada Wolf Pack | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.0% | 59.0% | +2.0 | ✗ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos -5 (72-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Martin * | 37 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 7 | - |
| K. Stephens * | 35 | 7-10 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 14 | - |
| J. Caroline * | 33 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| L. Drew * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| H. Cooke * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Martin | 34 | 9-18 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 8 | - |
| J. Hall | 22 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| E. Foster | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Williams | 37 | 5-15 | 2-9 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | - |
| C. Hutchison * | 39 | 4-14 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 20 | - |
| J. Jessup * | 35 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| C. Sengfelder * | 35 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Z. Haney * | 15 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| A. Hobbs | 21 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| M. Dickinson | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D. Wacker | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| M. Harwell | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Jardine | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter