Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.4% | 57.6% | +1.7 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos +3 (83-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Watson * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 28 | - |
| M. Pope * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 26 | - |
| J. McDaniels * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 25 | - |
| T. Kell * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 13 | - |
| M. Mitchell * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 18 | - |
| J. Schakel | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| J. Hemsley | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Montana | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Hutchison * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 44 | 51 | - |
| Justinian Jessup * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Zach Haney * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Christian Sengfelder * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Alex Hobbs | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Marcus Dickinson | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Robin Jorch | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter