Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | Wyoming Cowboys | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.4% | 17.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.6% | 17.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Wyoming Cowboys +1 (79-78). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justinian Jessup * | 38 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | +4.9 |
| Chandler Hutchison * | 37 | 6-19 | 1-4 | 14-20 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 13 | -4.8 |
| Christian Sengfelder * | 33 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -4.9 |
| Zach Haney * | 26 | 7-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | -5.7 |
| Lexus Williams * | 21 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | -15.3 |
| Marcus Dickinson | 26 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | +6.6 |
| Alex Hobbs | 24 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | +3.8 |
| Robin Jorch | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | +8.1 |
| David Wacker | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -3.2 |
| Casdon Jardine | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +1.2 |
Wyoming Cowboys
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hayden Dalton * | 45 | 10-21 | 2-9 | 7-9 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 23 | +6.5 |
| Cody Kelley * | 37 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 4-8 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | +5.6 |
| Justin James * | 35 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | +6.2 |
| Hunter Maldonado * | 31 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | +13.3 |
| Alan Herndon * | 31 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 10 | -0.7 |
| Alexander Aka Gorski | 17 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | -11.5 |
| Andrew Moemeka | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1.6 |
| Louis Adams | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | +6.3 |
| Nyaires Redding | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -5.2 |
* = starter