Model Predictions
| Model | Utah State Aggies | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 65.8% | 34.2% | -3.6 | ✗ (13.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.6% | 21.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.8% | 21.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons +10 (75-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Merrill * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Dwayne Brown * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 24 | - |
| Diogo Brito * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Quinn Taylor * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Alexis Dargenton | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 11 | - |
| DeAngelo Isby | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Daron Henson | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Julion Pearre | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Lyons * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 21 | - |
| Lavelle Scottie * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 25 | - |
| Sid Tomes * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 20 | - |
| C.J. Siples * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| R. Swan * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Keaton Van Soelen | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - |
| Caleb Morris | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Jonathan DeWane | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Frank Toohey | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jacob Van | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Ryan Manning | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter