Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.0% | 55.0% | -0.1 | ✗ (4.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.8% | 63.2% | +3.0 | ✗ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams -5 (71-76). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Lyons * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 29 | - |
| Ryan Swan * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 22 | - |
| Pervis Louder * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | - |
| Keaton Van Soelen * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | - |
| CJ Siples * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Lavelle Scottie | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Jacob Van | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Sid Tomes | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Caleb Morris | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jonathan DeWane | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Frank Toohey | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.D. Paige * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Prentiss Nixon * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 29 | - |
| Nico Carvacho * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 27 | - |
| Anthony Bonner * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Che Bob * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Deion James | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 27 | - |
| Raquan Mitchell | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Lorenzo Jenkins | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter