Model Predictions
| Model | Nevada Wolf Pack | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 93.2% | 6.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 88.3% | 11.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 88.5% | 11.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 99.4% | 0.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 99.4% | 0.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 86.2% | 13.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons -11 (75-86). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendall Stephens * | 37 | 7-16 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 6 | +3.6 |
| C. Martin * | 36 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 14 | -4.1 |
| Jordan Caroline * | 34 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 18 | -3.1 |
| Lindsey Drew * | 31 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -0.4 |
| C. Martin * | 30 | 8-12 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 18 | +8.2 |
| Hallice Cooke | 20 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | -7.7 |
| Josh Hall | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3.0 |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lavelle Scottie * | 34 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | +6.3 |
| Keaton Van Soelen * | 34 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | +6.0 |
| Trevor Lyons * | 33 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 10 | +8.0 |
| Ryan Swan * | 27 | 7-8 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 17 | +9.5 |
| Jacob Van * | 27 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | +11.7 |
| CJ Siples | 12 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | -8.0 |
| Frank Toohey | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -3.9 |
| Ryan Manning | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.5 |
| Pervis Louder | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -3.7 |
| Dane Norman | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3.3 |
| Jonathan DeWane | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -5.8 |
| LeSean Brown | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter