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2017-12-27

Model Predictions

Model Air Force Falcons New Mexico Lobos Spread Result
Elo 1.7% 98.3% -
Bradley-Terry 15.2% 84.8% -
Margin 4.5% 95.5% +16.8 (12.2 off)
Pythagorean 6.2% 93.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: New Mexico Lobos +29 (87-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Lyons * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 4 4 -
S. Tomes * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 3 7 -
F. Toohey * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 0 3 10 -
L. Scottie * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 12 10 -
R. Manning * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 0 2 -
C. Siples 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 2 0 3 4 7 -
K. Van Soelen 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 5 9 -
R. Swan 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 0 7 13 -
P. Louder 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 6 7 -
J. Van 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
J. DeWane 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 8 11 -
L. Brown 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
D. Norman 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 -
C. Joyce 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
C. Morris 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 -

New Mexico Lobos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Kuiper * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 3 0 0 13 22 -
C. McNeal * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 0 0 1 7 14 -
M. Maluach * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 7 11 -
T. Simons * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 2 5 -
V. Pinchuk * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 -
J. Furstinger 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 3 1 2 1 12 29 -
S. Logwood 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 10 13 -
J. Simmons 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 3 1 0 15 21 -
A. Mathis 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 11 12 -

* = starter