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2017-11-23

Model Predictions

Model Saint Mary's Gaels Harvard Crimson Spread Result
Elo 77.7% 22.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 71.8% 28.2% - โœ“
Margin 81.4% 18.6% -8.1 โœ“ (9.9 off)
Pythagorean 58.2% 41.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 90.6% 9.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 90.6% 9.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 66.2% 33.8% - โœ“

Actual: Harvard Crimson -18 (71-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Saint Mary's Gaels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Emmett Naar * 39 2-4 0-2 7-7 9 9 0 0 4 11 21 -
Jock Landale * 33 7-9 0-0 12-13 7 1 1 0 4 26 22 -
Calvin Hermanson * 32 3-8 1-6 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 7 2 -
Jordan Ford * 27 4-6 3-3 1-2 9 1 1 0 1 12 16 -
Evan Fitzner * 6 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 3 0 -
Kyle Clark 31 3-5 0-2 2-2 5 1 0 0 0 8 9 -
Cullen Neal 12 4-9 1-4 6-6 2 0 1 0 0 15 9 -
Tanner Krebs 10 0-3 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Jordan Hunter 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
Elijah Thomas 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Tommy Kuhse 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Jock Perry 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Seth Towns * 33 6-15 1-5 0-1 4 3 1 0 1 13 5 -
C. Johnson * 32 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 3 2 1 1 5 9 -
C. Lewis * 32 8-12 0-0 2-3 3 1 1 2 0 18 13 -
J. Bassey * 25 1-1 0-0 2-2 0 3 2 0 0 4 8 -
B. Aiken * 25 7-13 2-7 6-6 3 2 0 0 2 22 12 -
R. Haskett 19 2-5 0-1 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 4 1 -
R. Baker 14 1-3 0-2 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
D. Djuricic 8 0-5 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
H. Welsh 7 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -
C. Juzang 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter