Model Predictions
| Model | Coppin State Eagles | UMBC Retrievers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.4% | 98.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.6% | 94.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.1% | 97.9% | +21.1 | ✓ (14.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UMBC Retrievers +7 (81-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Coppin State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Morgan * | 36 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Adam Traore * | 32 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Karonn Davis * | 31 | 9-16 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Keandre Fair * | 22 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Cedric Council * | 20 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Tre' Thomas | 32 | 5-14 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Chad Andrews-Fulton | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Lucian Brownlee | 7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K.J. Maura * | 33 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 16 | - |
| Arkel Lamar * | 30 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Jourdan Grant * | 29 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Joe Sherburne * | 28 | 5-12 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Nolan Gerrity * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Jairus Lyles | 29 | 6-11 | 5-9 | 10-12 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 22 | - |
| Daniel Akin | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Brandon Horvath | 12 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Max Portmann | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter