Model Predictions
| Model | Vermont Catamounts | UMass Lowell River Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.4% | 15.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.1% | 17.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 78.3% | 21.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.6% | 4.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.7% | 4.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UMass Lowell River Hawks -11 (77-88). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Vermont Catamounts
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Urquhart * | 36 | 7-10 | 1-3 | 4-7 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 23 | +7.9 |
| Ernie Duncan * | 33 | 10-11 | 5-6 | 7-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 23 | +13.8 |
| Trae Bell-Haynes * | 31 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | +4.9 |
| Payton Henson * | 30 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 10 | -2.4 |
| Everett Duncan * | 23 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -1.9 |
| Cam Ward | 17 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | -8.8 |
| Stef Smith | 16 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4.4 |
| Samuel Dingba | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -4.5 |
| Nate Rohrer | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
UMass Lowell River Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahad Thomas * | 40 | 11-19 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 30 | 22 | +1.2 |
| Ryan Jones * | 38 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 8 | +4.3 |
| Matt Harris * | 38 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 2 | -3.4 |
| Josh Gantz * | 35 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +6.5 |
| Rinardo Perry * | 32 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | +0.4 |
| Obadiah Noel | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1.5 |
| Connor Bennett | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -6.2 |
| Stefan Borovac | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.1 |
* = starter