Model Predictions
| Model | UMBC Retrievers | Towson Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.6% | 29.4% | -8.0 | ✗ (21.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 28.5% | 71.5% | +5.1 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Towson Tigers +13 (78-65). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jairus Lyles * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 32 | - |
| K.J. Maura * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Joe Sherburne * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Arkel Lamar * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Nolan Gerrity * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Jourdan Grant | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Daniel Akin | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Max Curran | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Max Portmann | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Brandon Horvath | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Towson Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Starr * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Eddie Keith * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 30 | - |
| Zane Martin * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Mike Morsell * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Alex Thomas * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 16 | - |
| Deshaun Morman | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Dennis Tunstall | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | - |
| Jordan McNeil | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Travis Ingram | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter