🐻⬇️🏀

Towson Tigers 71
@
UNC Wilmington Seahawks 73
2018-01-20

Model Predictions

Model Towson Tigers UNC Wilmington Seahawks Spread Result
Elo 42.1% 57.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 62.5% 37.5% - ✗
Margin 69.0% 31.0% -4.4 ✗ (6.4 off)
Pythagorean 65.1% 34.9% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 75.4% 24.6% - ✗
Log Adjusted 75.8% 24.2% - ✗
Points Off/Def 59.4% 40.6% - ✗

Actual: UNC Wilmington Seahawks +2 (73-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Towson Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brian Starr * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 8 6 -
Zane Martin * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 3 0 3 21 29 -
Mike Morsell * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 2 0 2 10 17 -
Eddie Keith * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 1 2 5 12 -
Alex Thomas * 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 0 7 -
Deshaun Morman 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 3 3 2 3 13 25 -
Dennis Tunstall 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 2 1 4 10 -
Jordan McNeil 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UNC Wilmington Seahawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ty Taylor * 42 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 4 20 20 -
Marcus Bryan * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 13 3 1 0 1 8 24 -
Jordon Talley * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 1 0 4 14 19 -
Devontae Cacok * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 1 1 12 21 -
Jaylen Fornes * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 0 1 10 15 -
Jacque Brown 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 3 0 0 9 16 -
Jeffrey Gary 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 0 -1 -
Jay Estime' 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 0 2 -
Trey Kalina 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter