Model Predictions
| Model | James Madison Dukes | Northeastern Huskies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northeastern Huskies +13 (80-67). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
James Madison Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Banks * | 36 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | -12.9 |
| Matt Lewis * | 35 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | -7.2 |
| Stuckey Mosley * | 27 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | -19.7 |
| Develle Phillips * | 26 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | -12.4 |
| Ramone Snowden * | 21 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -14.0 |
| Antanee Pinkard | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +6.6 |
| Zach Jacobs | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +11.1 |
| Dwight Wilson III | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +6.9 |
| Greg Jones | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.0 |
Northeastern Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasa Pusica * | 37 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 18 | +18.5 |
| Shawn Occeus * | 29 | 6-7 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 18 | +20.5 |
| Maxime Boursiquot * | 22 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | +14.8 |
| Donnell Gresham Jr. * | 21 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +8.7 |
| Anthony Green * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.2 |
| Bolden Brace | 26 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 11 | -4.5 |
| Tomas Murphy | 24 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | +0.8 |
| Devon Begley | 21 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | -0.8 |
| Jeremy Miller | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | +4.7 |
| Jason Strong | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -5.8 |
| Myles Franklin | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -5.8 |
| Derrick Cook | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -5.9 |
* = starter