Model Predictions
| Model | Towson Tigers | Hofstra Pride | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.6% | 57.4% | +1.6 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Hofstra Pride +5 (91-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Towson Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Morsell * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Zane Martin * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 36 | 47 | - |
| Jordan McNeil * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Alex Thomas * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Dennis Tunstall | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 21 | - |
| Eddie Keith | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Jeffrey Prophete | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Hofstra Pride
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Wright-Foreman * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 36 | - |
| Eli Pemberton * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Desure Buie * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Rokas Gustys * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 23 | - |
| Hunter Sabety * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jalen Ray | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Kenny Wormley | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Stafford Trueheart | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter