Model Predictions
| Model | UNC Wilmington Seahawks | Elon Phoenix | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.5% | 64.5% | +3.3 | ✗ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Elon Phoenix -2 (78-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNC Wilmington Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Fornes * | 40 | 7-14 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Jordon Talley * | 39 | 3-17 | 1-8 | 7-7 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Ty Taylor * | 38 | 7-19 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Devontae Cacok * | 35 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 21 | - |
| Marcus Bryan * | 30 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Jay Estime' | 22 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Jeffrey Gary | 17 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jacque Brown | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Elon Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Seibring * | 42 | 8-16 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 19 | - |
| Dainan Swoope * | 40 | 1-11 | 0-9 | 4-6 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Dmitri Thompson * | 39 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Steve Santa Ana * | 33 | 5-10 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Brian Dawkins * | 27 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Sheldon Eberhardt | 20 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Karolis Kundrotas | 14 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Seth Fuller | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Simon Wright | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter