Model Predictions
| Model | Elon Phoenix | Hofstra Pride | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Hofstra Pride -13 (76-89). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Elon Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Dawkins * | 35 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 6-8 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 20 | +15.2 |
| Dmitri Thompson * | 34 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 14 | +17.6 |
| Tyler Seibring * | 30 | 9-12 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 18 | +11.8 |
| Dainan Swoope * | 29 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | +11.9 |
| Steven Santa Ana * | 26 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | +4.3 |
| Sheldon Eberhardt | 19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -1.2 |
| Seth Fuller | 11 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | -0.6 |
| Simon Wright | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.7 |
| Karolis Kundrotas | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3.8 |
Hofstra Pride
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Wright-Foreman * | 40 | 14-34 | 5-16 | 6-6 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 39 | 17 | -13.7 |
| Elijah Pemberton * | 37 | 6-15 | 2-7 | 5-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 6 | -11.2 |
| Rokas Gustys * | 33 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 24 | -17.9 |
| Kenny Wormley * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -17.2 |
| Joel Angus III * | 9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -11.4 |
| Jalen Ray | 30 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | +4.8 |
| Matija Radovic | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -5.9 |
| Stafford Trueheart | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +12.6 |
| Hunter Sabety | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +1.4 |
* = starter