Model Predictions
| Model | Elon Phoenix | Northeastern Huskies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northeastern Huskies +12 (72-60). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Elon Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Seibring * | 36 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Dmitri Thompson * | 36 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Steven Santa Ana * | 35 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Brian Dawkins * | 35 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Dainan Swoope * | 33 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Seth Fuller | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Sheldon Eberhardt | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Karolis Kundrotas | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Simon Wright | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Nathan Priddy | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Collin Luther | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jack Anton | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northeastern Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasa Pusica * | 38 | 7-14 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Shawn Occeus * | 35 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Maxime Boursiquot * | 26 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Donnell Gresham Jr. * | 20 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Anthony Green * | 12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Devon Begley | 27 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 6-6 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Bolden Brace | 21 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Jeremy Miller | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tomas Murphy | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter